Sunday, August 13, 2006

Saturday Night Variance

Before Saturday night, I’d been running good in August in NL cash games. I’ve posted wins in 12 of my 15 prior sessions in August for a total win of 253BBs.

Saturday night, I played in a multi-table SNG on FullTilt. I am at the final table with a 3800 stack. Blinds are a huge 300-600, in relation to the stacks. (The more I play SNG or tournaments on FullTilt, the less I like them – the levels are way too short.) Everyone but 2 or 3 players is in the “push or fold” zone. Folded to me on the button with KhJd. I push as a 60-40 favorite against a random hand, but BB calls with QQ so I am actually a 72-28 dog, and I’m out.

Soon thereafter, in a $1/2NL cash game, I flop a set of 555 in the BB in a 6-handed limped pot. I have less than a full stack. Board is 8-K-5 rainbow. I check, UTG bets the pot. I C/R all-in when it gets back to me after one caller. UTG calls with a set of 888, so I lose a buy in. I hate set over set – there’s just no way to avoid losing a big pot.

PartyPoker $1/2NL, I have AA in the cutoff with more than a full buy-in. Folded to me and I raise to $7. Button raises to $37. Folded around to me, I flat call, thinking he has AA, KK, AK, or maybe QQ with such a large PF raise. Flop is Ks-Qs-8d. Yuck, unless he has AK. I bet 2/3 pot, he raises the pot. I call, then push the turn of (Ks-Qs-8d)-3s. He calls with a set of KKK. I clearly should have folded to any aggression on the flop – my instincts immediately said “SET” on the flop, but I just ignored it in favor of AK, because my flat call could have made him think I had something less, like maybe JJ which would lead to his aggression with AK.

The damage for the night was about $370.

Now as I type this on Sunday, I’m over $600 on one $1/2NL table, so all is right again.

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